Center for Geomechanics and Mitigation of Geohazards (GMG)

(Geomechanics and Mitigation of Geohazards Center)

The Center for Geomechanics and Mitigation of Geohazards (GMG) is a National Science Foundation (NSF) Industry-University Cooperative Research Center(IUCRC)that facilitates productive, meaningful partnerships between universities and industry.

Articles from CaltechAUTHORS

• Li, Linxuan; Im, Kyungjae; et al. (2026) Large-magnitude events unlikely in induced earthquake sequences; Nature Communications; Vol. 17; No. 1; 4192; PMCID PMC13153268; 10.1038/s41467-026-72219-9
• Li, Linxuan; Im, Kyungjae; et al. (2026) Large-magnitude events unlikely in induced earthquake sequences; Nature Communications; 10.1038/s41467-026-72219-9
• Sirorattanakul, Krittanon and Avouac, Jean-Philippe (2026) Seismic rhythms: Earthquake response to tectonic, hydrological, and tidal forcing in California; Science Advances; Vol. 12; No. 13; eadz5711; PMCID PMC13015884; 10.1126/sciadv.adz5711
• Wang, Zhenyu; Ren, Chunmei; et al. (2026) Source Complexity and Faulting Heterogeneity of the 2024 Mw 4.8 Zhongdian Earthquake, Yunnan, China; Seismological Research Letters; Vol. 97; No. 2A; 679-697; 10.1785/0220250259
• Kaveh, Hojjat; Avouac, Jean-Philippe; et al. (2026) Data Assimilation in Machine-Learned Reduced-order Model of Chaotic Earthquake Sequences; Geophysical Journal International; Vol. 244; No. 2; ggaf518; 10.1093/gji/ggaf518
• Li, Linxuan and Avouac, Jean-Philippe (2026) Distinguishing Tapered and Non-Tapered Gutenberg–Richter Distributions; Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America; Vol. 116; No. 1; 436-466; 10.1785/0120250130
• Marty, S.; Avouac, J. P.; et al. (2025) Coulomb stress-based forecasting of injection-induced seismicity in Oklahoma and Kansas; Earth and Planetary Science Letters; Vol. 671; 119677; 10.1016/j.epsl.2025.119677
• Kim, Taeho; Gutiérrez-Oribio, Diego; et al. (2025) Single-well based control and optimization of hydraulic stimulation and induced seismicity: Application to the Otaniemi geothermal project; Geothermics; Vol. 132; 103396; 10.1016/j.geothermics.2025.103396
• Antoine, Solene L.; Shrestha, Rajani; et al. (2025) The 2025 Mw 7.7 Mandalay, Myanmar, earthquake reveals a complex earthquake cycle with clustering and variable segmentation on the Sagaing Fault; Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences; Vol. 122; No. 33; e2514378122; 10.1073/pnas.2514378122
• Milliner, C.; Avouac, J. P.; et al. (2025) Localization of inelastic strain with fault maturity and effects on earthquake characteristics; Nature Geoscience; Vol. 18; No. 8; 793-800; 10.1038/s41561-025-01752-x
• Wang, Guanli and Avouac, Jean-Philippe (2025) Inferring the Causal Structure Among Injection-Induced Seismicity with Linear Intensity Models; Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America; Vol. 115; No. 4; 1406-1434; 10.1785/0120240233
• Kim, Taeho; Im, Kyungjae; et al. (2025) Finite Size Effects on Seismicity Induced by Fluid Injection in a Discrete Fault Network With Rate-and-State Friction; Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth; Vol. 130; No. 7; e2024JB030243; 10.1029/2024jb030243
• Acosta, Mateo; Ledevin, Thomas; et al. (2025) Flow2Quake, an integrated multiphase flow, geomechanical and seismicity model for efficient forecasting of injection and extraction induced earthquakes; International Journal of Greenhouse Gas Control; Vol. 145; 104388; 10.1016/j.ijggc.2025.104388
• Im, Kyungjae and Avouac, Jean-Philippe (2025) Maximum Magnitude of Induced Earthquakes in Rate and State Friction Framework; Seismological Research Letters; Vol. 96; No. 3; 1654-1664; 10.1785/0220240382
• Fukushima, Rikuto; Kano, Masayuki; et al. (2025) Physics-Informed Deep Learning for Estimating the Spatial Distribution of Frictional Parameters in Slow Slip Regions; Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth; Vol. 130; No. 5; e2024JB030256; 10.1029/2024jb030256
• Sirorattanakul, Krittanon; Larochelle, Stacy; et al. (2025) Sliding and healing of frictional interfaces that appear stationary; Nature; Vol. 639; No. 8056; 947-953; 10.1038/s41586-025-08673-0
• Li, Yuexin; Acosta, Mateo; et al. (2025) Geodetic Monitoring of Elastic and Inelastic Deformation in Compacting Reservoirs Due To Subsurface Operations; Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth; Vol. 130; No. 3; e2024JB030794; 10.1029/2024jb030794
• Bird, E.; Atterholt, J.; et al. (2025) Constraining Dike Opening Models With Seismic Velocity Changes Associated With the 2023–2024 Eruption Sequence on the Reykjanes Peninsula; AGU Advances; Vol. 6; No. 1; e2024AV001516; 10.1029/2024av001516
• Kaveh, Hojjat; Avouac, Jean-Philippe; et al. (2025) Spatiotemporal forecast of extreme events in a chaotic model of slow slip events; Geophysical Journal International; Vol. 240; No. 2; 870-885; 10.1093/gji/ggae417
• Sirorattanakul, Krittanon; Wilding, John D.; et al. (2025) Bursts of Fast Propagating Swarms of Induced Earthquakes at the Groningen Gas Field; Seismological Research Letters; Vol. 96; No. 1; 130-146; 10.1785/0220240107
• Tamama, Y.; Acosta, M.; et al. (2024) Earthquake Growth Inhibited at Higher Coulomb Stress Change Rate at Groningen; Geophysical Research Letters; Vol. 51; No. 20; e2024GL110139; 10.1029/2024gl110139
• Im, Kyungjae and Avouac, Jean-Philippe (2024) Quake-DFN: A Software for Simulating Sequences of Induced Earthquakes in a Discrete Fault Network; Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America; Vol. 114; No. 5; 2341-2358; 10.1785/0120230299
• Liyanage, Rebecca; Fu, Xiaojing; et al. (2024) Direct comparison of density-driven convective mixing in a three-dimensional porous medium using experiments and simulation; Physical Review Fluids; Vol. 9; No. 4; 43802; 10.1103/physrevfluids.9.043802
• Kaveh, Hojjat; Batlle, Pau; et al. (2024) Induced Seismicity Forecasting with Uncertainty Quantification: Application to the Groningen Gas Field; Seismological Research Letters; Vol. 95; No. 2A; 773-790; 10.1785/0220230179
• Acosta, Mateo; Avouac, Jean‐Philippe; et al. (2023) Earthquake Nucleation Characteristics Revealed by Seismicity Response to Seasonal Stress Variations Induced by Gas Production at Groningen; Geophysical Research Letters; Vol. 50; No. 19; e2023GL105455; 10.1029/2023gl105455
• Im, Kyungjae and Avouac, Jean-Philippe (2023) Cascading foreshocks, aftershocks and earthquake swarms in a discrete fault network; Geophysical Journal International; Vol. 235; No. 1; 831-852; 10.1093/gji/ggad278
• Kim, Taeho and Avouac, Jean‐Philippe (2023) Stress-Based and Convolutional Forecasting of Injection-Induced Seismicity: Application to the Otaniemi Geothermal Reservoir Stimulation; Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth; Vol. 128; No. 4; e2022JB024960; 10.1029/2022jb024960
• Lattanzi, A.; Rubino, V.; et al. (2023) Uncertainty Analysis of Dynamic Rupture Measurements Obtained Through Ultrahigh-Speed Digital Image Correlation; Experimental Mechanics; Vol. 63; No. 3; 529-563; 10.1007/s11340-022-00932-9
• Sirorattanakul, Krittanon; Ross, Zachary E.; et al. (2022) The 2020 Westmorland, California Earthquake Swarm as Aftershocks of a Slow Slip Event Sustained by Fluid Flow; Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth; Vol. 127; No. 11; Art. No. e2022JB024693; 10.1029/2022jb024693
• Im, Kyungjae and Avouac, Jean-Philippe (2022) Linear stability analysis of the condition for vibration during frictional slip; Journal of the Mechanics and Physics of Solids; Vol. 167; Art. No. 104993; 10.1016/j.jmps.2022.104993
• Smith, Jonathan D.; Heimisson, Elías R.; et al. (2022) Stress-based forecasting of induced seismicity with instantaneous earthquake failure functions: Applications to the Groningen gas reservoir; Earth and Planetary Science Letters; Vol. 594; Art. No. 117697; 10.1016/j.epsl.2022.117697
• Rubino, V.; Lapusta, N.; et al. (2022) Intermittent lab earthquakes in dynamically weakening fault gouge; Nature; Vol. 606; 922-929; 10.1038/s41586-022-04749-3
• Jiang, Junle; Erickson, Brittany A.; et al. (2022) Community-Driven Code Comparisons for Three-Dimensional Dynamic Modeling of Sequences of Earthquakes and Aseismic Slip; Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth; Vol. 127; No. 3; Art. No. e2021JB023519; 10.1029/2021JB023519
• Tal, Yuval; Rubino, Vito; et al. (2022) Dynamics and Near-Field Surface Motions of Transitioned Supershear Laboratory Earthquakes in Thrust Faults; Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth; Vol. 127; No. 3; Art. No. e2021JB023733; 10.1029/2021jb023733
• Heimisson, Elías R.; Smith, Jonathan D.; et al. (2022) Coulomb threshold rate-and-state model for fault reactivation: application to induced seismicity at Groningen; Geophysical Journal International; Vol. 228; No. 3; 2061-2072; 10.1093/gji/ggab467
• Bedford, John D.; Faulkner, Daniel R.; et al. (2022) Fault rock heterogeneity can produce fault weakness and reduce fault stability; Nature Communications; Vol. 13; Art. No. 326; 10.1038/s41467-022-27998-2
• Smith, Jonthan D.; Ross, Zachary E.; et al. (2022) HypoSVI: Hypocentre inversion with Stein variational inference and physics informed neural networks; Geophysical Journal International; Vol. 228; No. 1; 698-710; 10.1093/gji/ggab309
• Rezakhani, R.; Rubino, V.; et al. (2022) Three-dimensional stress state during dynamic shear rupture propagation along frictional interfaces in elastic plates; Mechanics of Materials; Vol. 164; Art. No. 104098; 10.1016/j.mechmat.2021.104098
• Gori, Marcello; Rubino, Vito; et al. (2021) Dynamic rupture initiation and propagation in a fluid-injection laboratory setup with diagnostics across multiple temporal scales; Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America; Vol. 118; No. 51; Art. No. e2023433118; PMCID PMC8713790; 10.1073/pnas.2023433118
• Im, Kyungjae and Avouac, Jean-Philippe (2021) Tectonic tremor as friction-induced inertial vibration; Earth and Planetary Science Letters; Vol. 576; Art. No. 117238; 10.1016/j.epsl.2021.117238
• Im, Kyungjae and Avouac, Jean-Philippe (2021) On the role of thermal stress and fluid pressure in triggering seismic and aseismic faulting at the Brawley Geothermal Field, California; Geothermics; Vol. 97; Art. No. 102238; 10.1016/j.geothermics.2021.102238
• Smith, Jonathan D.; Azizzadenesheli, Kamyar; et al. (2021) EikoNet: Solving the Eikonal Equation With Deep Neural Networks; IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing; Vol. 59; No. 12; 10685-10696; 10.1109/TGRS.2020.3039165
• Lambert, Valère and Lapusta, Nadia (2021) Resolving Simulated Sequences of Earthquakes and Fault Interactions: Implications for Physics-Based Seismic Hazard Assessment; Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth; Vol. 126; No. 10; Art. No. e2021JB022193; 10.1029/2021JB022193
• Lambert, Valère; Lapusta, Nadia; et al. (2021) Scale Dependence of Earthquake Rupture Prestress in Models With Enhanced Weakening: Implications for Event Statistics and Inferences of Fault Stress; Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth; Vol. 126; No. 10; Art. No. e2021JB021886; 10.1029/2021JB021886
• Li, Bing Q.; Khoshmanesh, Mostafa; et al. (2021) Surface Deformation and Seismicity Induced by Poroelastic Stress at the Raft River Geothermal Field, Idaho, USA; Geophysical Research Letters; Vol. 48; No. 18; Art. No. e2021GL095108; 10.1029/2021gl095108
• Heimisson, Elías Rafn; Rudnicki, John; et al. (2021) Dilatancy and Compaction of a Rate-and-State Fault in a Poroelastic Medium: Linearized Stability Analysis; Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth; Vol. 126; No. 8; Art. No. e2021JB022071; 10.1029/2021jb022071
• Im, Kyungjae; Avouac, Jean-Philippe; et al. (2021) Ridgecrest aftershocks at Coso suppressed by thermal destressing; Nature; Vol. 595; No. 7865; 70-74; 10.1038/s41586-021-03601-4
• Stevens, V. L. and Avouac, J.-P. (2021) On the relationship between strain rate and seismicity in the India–Asia collision zone: implications for probabilistic seismic hazard; Geophysical Journal International; Vol. 226; No. 1; 220-245; 10.1093/gji/ggab098
• Ross, Zachary E. and Cochran, Elizabeth S. (2021) Evidence for Latent Crustal Fluid Injection Transients in Southern California From Long-Duration Earthquake Swarms; Geophysical Research Letters; Vol. 48; No. 12; Art. No. e2021GL092465; 10.1029/2021gl092465
• Larochelle, Stacy; Lapusta, Nadia; et al. (2021) Constraining Fault Friction and Stability With Fluid-Injection Field Experiments; Geophysical Research Letters; Vol. 48; No. 10; Art. No. e2020GL091188; 10.1029/2020GL091188
• Lambert, Valère; Lapusta, Nadia; et al. (2021) Propagation of large earthquakes as self-healing pulses or mild cracks; Nature; Vol. 591; No. 7849; 252-258; 10.1038/s41586-021-03248-1
• Heimisson, Elías R. and Avouac, Jean‐Philippe (2020) Analytical prediction of seismicity rate due to tides and other oscillating stresses; Geophysical Research Letters; Vol. 47; No. 23; Art. No. e2020GL090827; 10.1029/2020gl090827
• Lambert, Valère and Lapusta, Nadia (2020) Rupture-dependent breakdown energy in fault models with thermo-hydro-mechanical processes; Solid Earth; Vol. 11; No. 6; 2283-2302; 10.5194/se-11-2283-2020
• Tal, Yuval; Rubino, Vito; et al. (2020) Illuminating the physics of dynamic friction through laboratory earthquakes on thrust faults; Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America; Vol. 117; No. 35; 21095-21100; PMCID PMC7474586; 10.1073/pnas.2004590117
• Lambert, Valère and Tsai, Victor C. (2020) Time-Dependent Stresses From Fluid Extraction and Diffusion With Applications to Induced Seismicity; Journal of Applied Mechanics; Vol. 87; No. 8; Art. No. 081002; 10.1115/1.4047034
• Wang, Xin; Williams, Ethan F.; et al. (2020) Rose Parade Seismology: Signatures of Floats and Bands on Optical Fiber; Seismological Research Letters; Vol. 91; No. 4; 2395-2398; 10.1785/0220200091
• Smith, Jonathan D.; White, Robert S.; et al. (2020) Probabilistic earthquake locations of induced seismicity in the Groningen region, the Netherlands; Geophysical Journal International; Vol. 222; No. 1; 507-516; 10.1093/gji/ggaa179
• Ross, Zachary E.; Cochran, Elizabeth S.; et al. (2020) 3D fault architecture controls the dynamism of earthquake swarms; Science; Vol. 368; No. 6497; 1357-1361; 10.1126/science.abb0779
• Dal Zilio, Luca; Lapusta, Nadia; et al. (2020) Unraveling scaling properties of slow-slip events; Geophysical Research Letters; Vol. 47; No. 10; Art. No. e2020GL087477; 10.1029/2020gl087477
• Tal, Yuval; Goebel, Thomas; et al. (2020) Experimental and modeling study of the effect of fault roughness on dynamic frictional sliding; Earth and Planetary Science Letters; Vol. 536; Art. No. 116133; 10.1016/j.epsl.2020.116133
• Erickson, Brittany A.; Jiang, Junle; et al. (2020) Community Code Verification Exercise for Simulating Sequences of Earthquakes and Aseismic Slip (SEAS); Seismological Research Letters; Vol. 91; No. 2A; 874-890; 10.1785/0220190248
• Rosakis, A. J.; Rubino, V.; et al. (2020) Recent Milestones in Unraveling the Full-Field Structure of Dynamic Shear Cracks and Fault Ruptures in Real-Time: From Photoelasticity to Ultrahigh-Speed Digital Image Correlation; Journal of Applied Mechanics; Vol. 87; No. 3; Art. No. 030801; 10.1115/1.4045715
• Perry, Stephen M.; Lambert, Valère; et al. (2020) Nearly magnitude‐invariant stress drops in simulated crack‐like earthquake sequences on rate‐and‐state faults with thermal pressurization of pore fluids; Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth; Vol. 125; No. 3; Art. No. e2019JB018597; 10.1029/2019jb018597
• Rubino, V.; Rosakis, A. J.; et al. (2020) Spatiotemporal Properties of Sub‐Rayleigh and Supershear Ruptures Inferred From Full‐Field Dynamic Imaging of Laboratory Experiments; Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth; Vol. 125; No. 2; Art. No. e2019JB018922; 10.1029/2019JB018922
• Zhan, Zhongwen (2020) Distributed Acoustic Sensing Turns Fiber‐Optic Cables into Sensitive Seismic Antennas; Seismological Research Letters; Vol. 91; No. 1; 1-15; 10.1785/0220190112
• Williams, Ethan F.; Fernández-Ruiz, María R.; et al. (2019) Distributed sensing of microseisms and teleseisms with submarine dark fibers; Nature Communications; Vol. 10; Art. No. 5778; PMCID PMC6920360; 10.1038/s41467-019-13262-7
• Chen, Ting and Lapusta, Nadia (2019) On behaviour and scaling of small repeating earthquakes in rate and state fault models; Geophysical Journal International; Vol. 218; No. 3; 2001-2018; 10.1093/gji/ggz270
• Smith, Jonathan D.; Avouac, Jean‐Philippe; et al. (2019) Reconciling the Long‐Term Relationship Between Reservoir Pore Pressure Depletion and Compaction in the Groningen Region; Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth; Vol. 124; No. 6; 6165-6178; 10.1029/2018jb016801
• Rubino, V.; Rosakis, A. J.; et al. (2019) Full-field Ultrahigh-speed Quantification of Dynamic Shear Ruptures Using Digital Image Correlation; Experimental Mechanics; Vol. 59; No. 5; 551-582; 10.1007/s11340-019-00501-7
• Rollins, Chris and Avouac, Jean-Philippe (2019) A geodesy- and seismicity-based local earthquake likelihood model for central Los Angeles; Geophysical Research Letters; Vol. 46; No. 6; 3153-3162; 10.1029/2018gl080868
• Cappa, Frédéric; Scuderi, Marco Maria; et al. (2019) Stabilization of fault slip by fluid injection in the laboratory and in situ; Science Advances; Vol. 5; No. 3; Art. No. eaau4065; PMCID PMC6415952; 10.1126/sciadv.aau4065
• Schaal, Natalie and Lapusta, Nadia (2019) Microseismicity on Patches of Higher Compression During Larger-Scale Earthquake Nucleation in a Rate-and-State Fault Model; Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth; Vol. 124; No. 2; 1962-1990; 10.1029/2018jb016395
• Li, Zefeng and Zhan, Zhongwen (2018) Pushing the limit of earthquake detection with distributed acoustic sensing and template matching: a case study at the Brady geothermal field; Geophysical Journal International; Vol. 215; No. 3; 1583-1593; 10.1093/gji/ggy359
• Lui, Semechah K. Y. and Lapusta, Nadia (2018) Modeling High Stress Drops, Scaling, Interaction, and Irregularity of Repeating Earthquake Sequences Near Parkfield; Journal of Geophysical Research. Solid Earth; Vol. 123; No. 12; 10854-10879; 10.1029/2018jb016472
• Lin, Yen-Yu and Lapusta, Nadia (2018) Microseismicity Simulated on Asperity-Like Fault Patches: On Scaling of Seismic Moment With Duration and Seismological Estimates of Stress Drops; Geophysical Research Letters; Vol. 45; No. 16; 8145-8155; 10.1029/2018GL078650
• Hulikal, Srivatsan; Lapusta, Nadia; et al. (2018) Static and sliding contact of rough surfaces: effect of asperity-scale properties and long-range elastic interactions; Journal of the Mechanics and Physics of Solids; Vol. 116; 217-238; 10.1016/j.jmps.2018.03.022